Biden’s most straightforward reelection path would be obstructed by Trump’s last-minute effort to amend Nebraska’s election code

Anjali Jain
The ultimate guide to Super Tuesday ©AP Photo/Andrew Harnik; AP Photo/Andrew Harnik; Win McNamee/Getty Images Both President Biden and former President Trump are focused on the November general election. But they must first win over voters in a slew of primaries and caucuses on Super Tuesday. Nikki Haley has continued to campaign vigorously against Trump in the GOP primary. Super Tuesday is perhaps the most important day on the presidential-nominating calendar. This year, the outcomes of races in 16 states and one territory on March 5 are poised to give virtually insurmountable delegate leads to both President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump. Headed into Super Tuesday, Trump has won nearly every GOP contest against Nikki Haley, a former UN ambassador and ex-governor of South Carolina and his sole remaining major intraparty challenger. The former president has emerged victorious in key contests including the Iowa caucuses, New Hampshire primary, South Carolina primary, and Michigan primary, while Haley won her first primary in Washington, DC, on Sunday. On Super Tuesday, Trump is looking to continue his dominant performance against Haley as he inches closer to earning the 1,215 delegates needed to secure the GOP nomination. However, Haley continues to criticize Trump over everything from his electability to his judgment regarding foreign affairs, arguing that the GOP must turn the page from the former president. Though Biden easily won the early Democratic contests, he encountered some pushback in last week's Michigan primary when over 100,000 Democratic primary voters chose "uncommitted" to protest his refusal to call for a permanent cease-fire in Gaza. (He still won the state's primary with 81% of the vote.) Democratic challengers Dean Phillips and Marianne Williamson have so far attracted minimal support among the party's voters. Here's a look at the states and one territory where voters will head to the polls on Super Tuesday:

• Donald Trump endorsed a last-minute effort to hinder Joe Biden’s chances of victory. • He wants Nebraska Republicans to amend the law to prevent Biden from receiving an Electoral College vote in the state.
• To secure re-election, Biden need only secure the support of the Omaha metropolitan area in the congressional district.

A last-minute amendment to Nebraska’s election law, which is supported by former President Donald Trump, has the potential to deny President Joe Biden a crucial Electoral College vote in a closely contested race.
President Trump lauded Nebraska Governor Jim Pillen for endorsing a bill that would prohibit the state from allowing candidates to earn Electoral College ballots by winning the popular vote in any of its three congressional districts, a practice that dates back decades.

“A very smart letter from Governor Jim Pillen of Nebraska!” Tuesday evening, Trump published an article on Truth Social that included a citation of Pillen’s statement.
The Omaha metropolitan area-based 2nd Congressional District of Nebraska has been carried by the Democrats twice, most recently in 2020. The remaining four electoral votes in the heavily conservative portion of the state have been consistently cast in favor of Republican nominees. The Republican Party has, for the most part, maintained control of the congressional seat in the district; in 2022, centrist Republican Rep. Don Bacon was re-elected to a fourth term.

Pillen was, as Semafor initially stated, a follower of Charlie Kirk’s appeal to Nebraska legislators to advance the legislation prior to the adjournment of the current session. Kirk, the progenitor of Turning Point USA, is a supporter of Trump. Pillen stated in his statement that he had “always” supported the legislation.
“It would bring Nebraska into line with 48 of our fellow states, better reflect the founders’ intent, and ensure our state speaks with one unified voice in presidential elections,” Pillen asserted.

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A successful legislative amendment could potentially complicate Biden’s reelection bid. Reiterating his victories in the “blue wall” states of Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, followed by a re-carrying of the district in the Omaha metropolitan area, would be the bare minimum for Biden to secure a second term. Such being the case, Trump might still fall shy of the presidency despite flipping Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada.
In the event that Republicans were to amend the laws of Nebraska, the Electoral College would be divided 269-269, thus placing the presidency in the hands of the newly elected House of Representatives.
Suspiciousness regarding the ability of Republicans to pass this is warranted.

The state of Nebraska Republicans have spent years gnashing their teeth over the legislation. They acknowledge that a heavily conservative state that has gone a decade without a Democratic senator or governor transferring one of its Electoral College votes to the opposition would be embarrassed. Following the razor-thin victory of President Barack Obama in the 2nd Congressional District in 2008, numerous endeavors were undertaken to enact legislative reforms. Their attempt failed.
The present legislative proposal aimed at amending the law was initially introduced in January 2023 but has largely stalled since then.

The other peculiarity that distinguishes the Cornhusker State in American politics renders it more difficult for Republicans to enact legislation changes: A one-house legislature is in session.
By means of the filibuster, Democrats in the state have long obstructed or substantially held down legislation in the ostensibly nonpartisan unicameral. Like its counterpart in Congress, the Nebraska filibuster provides the minority with a potent instrument. With a mere 32 ballots in their favor, the Republicans fall short of achieving a filibuster-proof majority.

To obstruct a bill that would have prohibited gender-affirming care for minors, state senator Machaela Cavanaugh endured the longest filibuster in state history in 2023. Ultimately, a bill was passed into law that prohibited the majority of abortions after 12 weeks, but the filibuster nearly brought the Legislature to a stop for weeks.
An additional unfavorable development for Nebraska Republicans is that the 60-day session will close in mere days. A significant priority, Pillen’s tax strategy, is also still outstanding. State Senator Megan Hunt stated that this is the reason why Democrats should not be concerned.

“Reporting live from the trenches—don’t fear, Nebraska’s distinctive electoral system will not be eliminated. “Time is simply not on our side legislatively,” progressive lawmaker Hunt wrote on X. “There is nothing to be concerned about this year.” The #NELeg.
Pillen has political motivations to demonstrate that he is attempting to alter the law. In a contentious 2022 Nebraska Republican primary, Pillen, a former member of the state board of regents, defeated the businessman Charles Herbster, Trump’s preferred gubernatorial candidate. Some Nebraska Republicans were incensed by Pillen’s subsequent appointment of the then-recently former governor Pete Ricketts to the US Senate, as Ricketts had supported Pillen over Herbster. Pillen refuted any malicious occurrences pertaining to the appointment.

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Notably, Maine, the only other state to allocate a portion of its Electoral College ballots using the congressional-district method, has benefited Trump. In both 2016 and 2020, the former president carried Maine’s 2nd Congressional District.

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Hello, I'm Anjali Jain, a passionate writer navigating the dynamic realms of entertainment, politics, and technology. My blog serves as a digital canvas where I explore the intricate threads that weave together these diverse spheres, offering readers a comprehensive and engaging perspective. Entertainment Aficionado: As an avid consumer of all things entertainment, I delve into the worlds of movies, television, music, and more. Through my blog, I share insightful analyses, reviews, and behind-the-scenes glimpses into the ever-evolving landscape of pop culture. Political Explorer: I'm not one to shy away from the complexities of the political arena. From local issues to global affairs, my writings aim to unravel the intricacies of political events, fostering meaningful conversations about the societal impact of policy decisions. Tech Enthusiast: With an insatiable curiosity for technology, I keep my readers abreast of the latest innovations and trends in the tech world. My articles break down complex concepts, making technology accessible and exploring its profound influence on our daily lives. Narrative Architect: Through my writing, I craft narratives that bridge the gap between entertainment, politics, and technology. Each blog post is a journey, offering readers a thought-provoking exploration of the forces shaping our world. Join me in unraveling the stories that define our culture. Connect with me on Facebook, Instagram and X for real-time updates, discussions, and a shared passion for the fascinating intersection of entertainment, politics, and tech.
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